NYGGiants
1-7
27
TBD
Levi's Stadium
62°F
023
SF49ers
2-7
TBD
Levi's Stadium
62°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
3
10
7
27
49ers
3
10
7
3
23
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
277
374
Total Plays
55
68
Yards / Play
5.0
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.01
Passing Yards
180
--
Comp/Att
19/31(61%)
27/39(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
--
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.01
Rushing Yards
97
124
Rush Attempts
23
29
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
24
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
4
3rd Down %
42%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-9.04
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-8
--
Sack EPA
-1.87
--
Penalties
8
10
Penalty Yards
78
97
Penalty EPA
-7.43
-9.96
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model57.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+16
Home nfelo
1,478
Away nfelo
1,423
Home Field
+64.0
Base HFA
+57.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-45.0
Surface Adj
+20.2
Time Adj
+31.1
Net QB Adjustment
-103.6
Home QB Adjustment
-108.8
Away QB Adjustment
-5.2
Market Regression
+12.7
Final Difference
55.3
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-5.2
N. Mullens
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-108.8
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
28
Yards / Game
16
13
Passing Yards / Game
8
20
Rushing Yards / Game
24
13
EPA
EPA / Play
13
26
EPA / Pass
15
28
EPA / Rush
11
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
9
Interceptions / Game
14
32
Fumbles / Game
3
26
Turnover EPA / Game
22
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
21
4th Down Efficiency
10
18
RZ Efficiency
29
26
49ers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
23
Yards / Game
14
24
Passing Yards / Game
16
18
Rushing Yards / Game
12
21
EPA
EPA / Play
21
28
EPA / Pass
20
26
EPA / Rush
28
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
10
Interceptions / Game
30
7
Fumbles / Game
25
19
Turnover EPA / Game
1
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
27
4th Down Efficiency
19
32
RZ Efficiency
32
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
49ers
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U