NYGGiants
2-7
20
TBD
Soldier Field
33°F
10 mph
24
CHIBears
5-3
TBD
Soldier Field
33°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
10
7
3
20
Bears
7
0
3
14
24
Spread
+4.5
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
431
391
Total Plays
70
64
Yards / Play
6.2
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.00
+0.04
Passing Yards
262
--
Comp/Att
22/36(61%)
20/36(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.02
-0.17
Rushing Yards
169
171
Rush Attempts
30
28
Yards / Rush
5.6
6.1
EPA / Rush
-0.02
+0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
23
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
8
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
36%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
25%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.48
--
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-25
--
Sack EPA
-6.91
--
Penalties
10
3
Penalty Yards
69
25
Penalty EPA
-5.61
-3.06
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model68.6%
Spread Pick
Bears-4.5
Expected Value
+0.9%
Cover Probability
52.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+169
Home nfelo
1,494
Away nfelo
1,406
Home Field
+49.0
Base HFA
+41.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.6
Time Adj
-7.5
Net QB Adjustment
+31.6
Home QB Adjustment
+12.4
Away QB Adjustment
-19.2
Market Regression
+5.3
Final Difference
136.1
Model Spread
-6.0
Quarterbacks
J. Dart
Proj. Value
-0.0
Team Elo Adj
-19.2
C. Williams
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+12.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
26
Yards / Game
15
27
Passing Yards / Game
8
9
Rushing Yards / Game
10
24
EPA
EPA / Play
13
18
EPA / Pass
20
18
EPA / Rush
10
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
27
Interceptions / Game
14
1
Fumbles / Game
16
5
Turnover EPA / Game
17
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
2
4th Down Efficiency
19
11
RZ Efficiency
27
13
Bears Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
29
Yards / Game
4
29
Passing Yards / Game
20
15
Rushing Yards / Game
2
30
EPA
EPA / Play
15
29
EPA / Pass
11
23
EPA / Rush
7
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
7
Interceptions / Game
6
28
Fumbles / Game
3
28
Turnover EPA / Game
32
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
18
4th Down Efficiency
29
25
RZ Efficiency
22
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Bears
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U