nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ bears week 13, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NYG logo
NYGGiants
7-4
21
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
13 mph
16
CHIBears
5-6
CHI logo
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
13 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
7
0
14
21
Bears
7
6
3
0
16

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Bears logo
Total Yards
356
312
Total Plays
66
75
Yards / Play
5.4
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.10
Passing Yards
181
244
Comp/Att
16/27(59%)
25/46(54%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
5.3
EPA / Pass
-0.19
-0.15
Rushing Yards
175
68
Rush Attempts
37
23
Yards / Rush
4.7
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.00
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Bears logo
1st Downs
24
18
Passing 1st downs
13
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
42%
32%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
19
Red Zone %
75%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Bears logo
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-20.76
--
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-14
-52
Sack EPA
-6.85
-9.02
Penalties
2
10
Penalty Yards
--
71
Penalty EPA
--
-8.37

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NYG logo
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Bears Defense
Giants logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
14
17
Yards / Game
17
28
Passing Yards / Game
10
30
Rushing Yards / Game
6
24

EPA

EPA / Play
11
5
EPA / Pass
19
14
EPA / Rush
6
13

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
9
Interceptions / Game
16
18
Fumbles / Game
17
1
Turnover EPA / Game
11
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
2
4th Down Efficiency
26
29
RZ Efficiency
13
14
Bears Offense vs Giants Defense
Bears logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
18
14
Yards / Game
27
7
Passing Yards / Game
6
23
Rushing Yards / Game
30
6

EPA

EPA / Play
26
13
EPA / Pass
26
13
EPA / Rush
30
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
20
Interceptions / Game
28
18
Fumbles / Game
15
16
Turnover EPA / Game
15
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
10
4th Down Efficiency
18
16
RZ Efficiency
27
29

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/16
-22
L
L
P
09/23
7
W
W
P
09/30
13
W
W
P
10/07
11
W
W
P
10/15
21
W
W
P
10/21
18
W
W
P
10/28
3
W
L
P
11/11
-11
L
L
P
11/18
6
W
W
P
11/25
-24
L
L
P
CHI logo

Bears

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/16
10
W
L
P
09/23
-24
L
L
P
09/30
-10
L
L
P
10/07
7
W
W
P
10/14
-3
L
L
P
10/21
3
W
W
P
10/28
-9
L
L
P
11/11
11
W
W
P
11/18
-7
L
L
P
11/25
3
W
W
P