NYGGiants
0-5
23
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
61°F
4 mph
10
DENBroncos
3-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
61°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
8
3
3
17
Broncos
0
3
0
7
10
Spread
+13.5
Total
UNDER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
266
412
Total Plays
54
75
Yards / Play
4.9
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.27
Passing Yards
118
366
Comp/Att
11/19(58%)
31/54(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.04
-0.27
Rushing Yards
148
46
Rush Attempts
32
17
Yards / Rush
4.6
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.32
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
20
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
29%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
17
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-13.84
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-10
-28
Sack EPA
-4.03
-5.61
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
77
46
Penalty EPA
-9.60
-4.97
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-12.0
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model83.6%
Spread Pick
Giants+13.5
Expected Value
+2.2%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+186
Home nfelo
1,539
Away nfelo
1,461
Home Field
+114.3
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+16.4
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
+20.5
Net QB Adjustment
-6.3
Home QB Adjustment
-2.4
Away QB Adjustment
+3.9
Market Regression
+49.5
Final Difference
282.4
Model Spread
-12.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+3.9
T. Siemian
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-2.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
22
Yards / Game
22
1
Passing Yards / Game
32
10
Rushing Yards / Game
26
5
EPA
EPA / Play
32
9
EPA / Pass
27
16
EPA / Rush
27
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
3
Interceptions / Game
20
25
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
16
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
2
4th Down Efficiency
25
7
RZ Efficiency
24
25
Broncos Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
27
Yards / Game
18
31
Passing Yards / Game
19
7
Rushing Yards / Game
12
26
EPA
EPA / Play
29
18
EPA / Pass
31
21
EPA / Rush
16
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
19
Interceptions / Game
31
15
Fumbles / Game
23
23
Turnover EPA / Game
2
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
21
4th Down Efficiency
26
4
RZ Efficiency
32
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U