NYGGiants
6-4
6
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
57°F
026
DENBroncos
6-4
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
57°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
6
0
6
Broncos
3
13
0
10
26
Spread
+5
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
267
373
Total Plays
59
69
Yards / Play
4.5
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.22
+0.10
Passing Yards
210
235
Comp/Att
24/40(60%)
18/28(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
8.4
EPA / Pass
-0.30
+0.30
Rushing Yards
57
138
Rush Attempts
16
40
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.35
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
23
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
25%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-12.21
-4.88
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-20
-10
Sack EPA
-7.97
-1.60
Penalties
4
8
Penalty Yards
45
61
Penalty EPA
-4.30
-0.78
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market67.5%
Model61.9%
Spread Pick
Broncos+5.0
Expected Value
+4.1%
Cover Probability
54.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-37
Home nfelo
1,462
Away nfelo
1,603
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-2.6
Home QB Adjustment
+11.1
Away QB Adjustment
+13.8
Market Regression
-0.7
Final Difference
-84.0
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+13.8
K. Orton
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+11.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
11
Yards / Game
9
7
Passing Yards / Game
6
4
Rushing Yards / Game
17
26
EPA
EPA / Play
8
12
EPA / Pass
8
6
EPA / Rush
16
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
14
Interceptions / Game
10
13
Fumbles / Game
30
7
Turnover EPA / Game
12
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
12
4th Down Efficiency
9
15
RZ Efficiency
20
14
Broncos Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
30
Yards / Game
15
13
Passing Yards / Game
9
13
Rushing Yards / Game
18
13
EPA
EPA / Play
18
30
EPA / Pass
15
23
EPA / Rush
18
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
20
Interceptions / Game
7
22
Fumbles / Game
13
12
Turnover EPA / Game
20
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
16
4th Down Efficiency
25
27
RZ Efficiency
22
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
2-8
O/U