NYGGiants
7-3
27
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
48°F
10 mph
13
CLEBrowns
0-11
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
48°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
14
0
7
21
Browns
0
6
0
7
13
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
296
343
Total Plays
55
72
Yards / Play
5.4
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.26
Passing Yards
192
285
Comp/Att
15/27(56%)
25/44(57%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.28
-0.38
Rushing Yards
104
58
Rush Attempts
27
21
Yards / Rush
3.9
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.34
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
21
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
31%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
4
Turnover EPA
--
-12.88
Sacks
1
7
Sack Yards
-2
-37
Sack EPA
-1.89
-19.78
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
100
--
Penalty EPA
-8.86
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model67.2%
Spread Pick
Browns+6.5
Expected Value
+2.1%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-88
Home nfelo
1,317
Away nfelo
1,508
Home Field
+77.1
Base HFA
+57.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+26.4
Home QB Adjustment
+28.3
Away QB Adjustment
+1.9
Market Regression
+3.9
Final Difference
-124.9
Model Spread
+5.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.9
J. McCown
Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
+28.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
30
Yards / Game
23
31
Passing Yards / Game
24
9
Rushing Yards / Game
29
30
EPA
EPA / Play
28
32
EPA / Pass
24
32
EPA / Rush
29
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
1
Interceptions / Game
21
22
Fumbles / Game
23
32
Turnover EPA / Game
14
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
30
4th Down Efficiency
14
29
RZ Efficiency
19
29
Browns Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
4
Yards / Game
30
13
Passing Yards / Game
16
15
Rushing Yards / Game
18
2
EPA
EPA / Play
27
7
EPA / Pass
27
6
EPA / Rush
23
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
30
Interceptions / Game
16
8
Fumbles / Game
27
19
Turnover EPA / Game
16
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
3
4th Down Efficiency
5
15
RZ Efficiency
15
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Browns
0-10
SU
2-8
ATS
6-4
O/U