NYGGiants
0-2
32
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
88°F
11 mph
31
TBBuccaneers
1-1
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
88°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
7
15
7
32
Buccaneers
12
16
0
3
31
Spread
+5.5
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
386
499
Total Plays
61
73
Yards / Play
6.3
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.08
Passing Yards
314
355
Comp/Att
23/37(62%)
23/37(62%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
9.6
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.26
Rushing Yards
72
144
Rush Attempts
19
32
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
24
Passing 1st downs
11
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
46%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
75%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-9.08
-4.55
Sacks
5
4
Sack Yards
-24
-25
Sack EPA
-13.69
-5.88
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
59
30
Penalty EPA
-5.59
-2.11
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model68.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+139
Home nfelo
1,429
Away nfelo
1,385
Home Field
+76.8
Base HFA
+57.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+18.2
Home QB Adjustment
-11.5
Away QB Adjustment
-29.8
Market Regression
-24.6
Final Difference
130.9
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-29.8
No recent game data available
J. Winston
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
-11.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
29
Yards / Game
23
15
Passing Yards / Game
16
31
Rushing Yards / Game
19
1
EPA
EPA / Play
26
11
EPA / Pass
27
7
EPA / Rush
11
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
11
Interceptions / Game
25
18
Fumbles / Game
32
2
Turnover EPA / Game
2
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
4
4th Down Efficiency
18
19
RZ Efficiency
17
5
Buccaneers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
30
Yards / Game
3
26
Passing Yards / Game
1
17
Rushing Yards / Game
24
20
EPA
EPA / Play
19
24
EPA / Pass
14
28
EPA / Rush
26
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
13
Interceptions / Game
32
25
Fumbles / Game
22
28
Turnover EPA / Game
1
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
20
4th Down Efficiency
11
24
RZ Efficiency
4
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Buccaneers
3-7
SU
5-3-2
ATS
2-8
O/U