NYGGiants
0-1
31
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
028
ARICardinals
0-1
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
14
17
31
Cardinals
7
13
8
0
28
Spread
+5
Total
OVER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
439
381
Total Plays
67
61
Yards / Play
6.6
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.13
Passing Yards
312
--
Comp/Att
26/37(70%)
21/31(68%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.22
+0.24
Rushing Yards
127
153
Rush Attempts
27
30
Yards / Rush
4.7
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.25
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
24
Passing 1st downs
15
11
Rushing 1st downs
10
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
58%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
10
Red Zone %
80%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.62
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-1.91
--
Penalties
9
8
Penalty Yards
75
57
Penalty EPA
-7.33
-4.23
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market67.5%
Model57.6%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+5.0
Expected Value
+18.8%
Cover Probability
61.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+13
Home nfelo
1,429
Away nfelo
1,453
Home Field
+58.4
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+15.4
Net QB Adjustment
-21.2
Home QB Adjustment
-33.6
Away QB Adjustment
-12.4
Market Regression
+6.6
Final Difference
-53.3
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-12.4
R. Dobbs
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-33.6
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
31
Yards / Game
29
25
Passing Yards / Game
29
3
Rushing Yards / Game
16
32
EPA
EPA / Play
30
31
EPA / Pass
29
31
EPA / Rush
29
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
16
Interceptions / Game
15
19
Fumbles / Game
6
31
Turnover EPA / Game
21
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
32
4th Down Efficiency
20
8
RZ Efficiency
31
23
Cardinals Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
26
Yards / Game
19
27
Passing Yards / Game
24
5
Rushing Yards / Game
3
29
EPA
EPA / Play
18
17
EPA / Pass
27
12
EPA / Rush
2
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
1
Interceptions / Game
15
3
Fumbles / Game
10
1
Turnover EPA / Game
20
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
10
4th Down Efficiency
28
20
RZ Efficiency
5
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-6-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Cardinals
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U