NYGGiants
2-1
31
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
027
ARICardinals
1-2
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
10
0
21
31
Cardinals
3
3
14
7
27
Spread
-1.5
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
360
368
Total Plays
65
70
Yards / Play
5.5
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.09
+0.00
Passing Yards
306
212
Comp/Att
27/40(68%)
20/34(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.21
-0.06
Rushing Yards
54
156
Rush Attempts
24
32
Yards / Rush
2.3
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.09
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
22
Passing 1st downs
16
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
46%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-9.12
-6.61
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-15
-25
Sack EPA
-6.16
-7.32
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
55
118
Penalty EPA
-5.65
-8.85
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model53.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-26
Home nfelo
1,411
Away nfelo
1,556
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+12.7
Home QB Adjustment
+14.5
Away QB Adjustment
+1.8
Market Regression
+43.2
Final Difference
-25.1
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.8
K. Kolb
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+14.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
16
Yards / Game
8
18
Passing Yards / Game
3
23
Rushing Yards / Game
29
21
EPA
EPA / Play
5
7
EPA / Pass
5
8
EPA / Rush
26
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
12
26
Fumbles / Game
16
12
Turnover EPA / Game
29
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
1
4th Down Efficiency
25
23
RZ Efficiency
9
2
Cardinals Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
20
Yards / Game
19
22
Passing Yards / Game
9
27
Rushing Yards / Game
24
18
EPA
EPA / Play
28
24
EPA / Pass
26
26
EPA / Rush
9
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
23
Interceptions / Game
27
14
Fumbles / Game
12
11
Turnover EPA / Game
4
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
16
4th Down Efficiency
4
20
RZ Efficiency
14
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cardinals
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U