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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ commanders week 13, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYG logo
NYGGiants
5-6
7
TBD
FedExField
61°F
6 mph
31
WASCommanders
3-8
WAS logo
TBD
FedExField
61°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
7
0
7
Commanders
7
14
3
7
31

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Commanders logo
Total Yards
145
379
Total Plays
41
68
Yards / Play
3.5
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.31
Passing Yards
107
168
Comp/Att
12/25(48%)
19/22(86%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.33
+0.60
Rushing Yards
38
211
Rush Attempts
15
45
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.27
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Commanders logo
1st Downs
7
27
Passing 1st downs
3
13
Rushing 1st downs
2
13
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
11%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
1
4
3rd Down Attempts
9
9
Red Zone %
NaN%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
--
4
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Commanders logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-6
-6
Sack EPA
-2.16
-2.13
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
40
66
Penalty EPA
-3.82
-6.46

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NYG logo
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Commanders Defense
Giants logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
22
4
Yards / Game
23
3
Passing Yards / Game
22
12
Rushing Yards / Game
10
1

EPA

EPA / Play
19
4
EPA / Pass
23
5
EPA / Rush
8
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
15
Interceptions / Game
9
10
Fumbles / Game
18
25
Turnover EPA / Game
25
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
30
2
4th Down Efficiency
31
12
RZ Efficiency
23
15
Commanders Offense vs Giants Defense
Commanders logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
31
17
Yards / Game
30
13
Passing Yards / Game
24
8
Rushing Yards / Game
20
28

EPA

EPA / Play
29
20
EPA / Pass
24
23
EPA / Rush
27
9

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
3
Interceptions / Game
17
22
Fumbles / Game
7
6
Turnover EPA / Game
16
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
26
4th Down Efficiency
27
13
RZ Efficiency
17
31

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
6
W
W
P
09/26
17
W
W
P
10/03
7
W
W
P
10/10
16
W
W
P
10/24
-15
L
L
P
10/31
21
W
W
P
11/07
-7
L
L
P
11/14
-3
L
L
P
11/21
-4
L
L
P
11/28
-21
L
L
P
WAS logo

Commanders

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/19
-6
L
L
P
09/27
-3
L
L
P
10/03
-4
L
L
P
10/10
-7
L
L
P
10/17
3
W
W
P
10/31
-14
L
L
P
11/07
7
W
W
P
11/14
-7
L
L
P
11/21
-22
L
L
P
11/28
-9
L
W
P