NYGGiants
-
17
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
035
DALCowboys
-
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
0
3
7
17
Cowboys
7
14
14
0
35
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
470
494
Total Plays
66
62
Yards / Play
7.1
8.0
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.34
Passing Yards
319
--
Comp/Att
33/48(69%)
25/32(78%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
--
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.94
Rushing Yards
151
89
Rush Attempts
17
30
Yards / Rush
8.9
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.37
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
23
Passing 1st downs
16
18
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
18%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-6.68
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-4
--
Sack EPA
-4.48
--
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
70
47
Penalty EPA
-9.70
-5.05
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+137
Home nfelo
1,530
Away nfelo
1,442
Home Field
+42.1
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
-26.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.4
Net QB Adjustment
+6.0
Home QB Adjustment
+4.6
Away QB Adjustment
-1.4
Market Regression
-14.3
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.4
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+4.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
9
Yards / Game
23
9
Passing Yards / Game
16
22
Rushing Yards / Game
19
10
EPA
EPA / Play
26
12
EPA / Pass
27
10
EPA / Rush
11
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
31
Interceptions / Game
25
30
Fumbles / Game
32
12
Turnover EPA / Game
2
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
3
4th Down Efficiency
18
12
RZ Efficiency
17
6
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
30
Yards / Game
1
26
Passing Yards / Game
6
17
Rushing Yards / Game
4
20
EPA
EPA / Play
3
24
EPA / Pass
3
28
EPA / Rush
3
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
13
Interceptions / Game
14
25
Fumbles / Game
4
28
Turnover EPA / Game
24
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
20
4th Down Efficiency
20
24
RZ Efficiency
16
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cowboys
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U