NYGGiants
1-0
33
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
031
DALCowboys
1-0
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
4
10
0
13
27
Cowboys
7
10
7
7
31
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
427
378
Total Plays
64
58
Yards / Play
6.7
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.02
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
25/38(66%)
13/29(45%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.35
-0.49
Rushing Yards
97
251
Rush Attempts
26
29
Yards / Rush
3.7
8.7
EPA / Rush
-0.22
+0.54
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
23
Passing 1st downs
14
7
Rushing 1st downs
3
15
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
40%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-19.78
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
40
50
Penalty EPA
-4.22
-4.42
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+68
Home nfelo
1,594
Away nfelo
1,589
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+17.8
Home QB Adjustment
+16.9
Away QB Adjustment
-0.8
Market Regression
+22.8
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-0.8
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+16.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
3
Yards / Game
9
10
Passing Yards / Game
6
23
Rushing Yards / Game
17
4
EPA
EPA / Play
8
8
EPA / Pass
8
17
EPA / Rush
16
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
13
Interceptions / Game
10
27
Fumbles / Game
30
5
Turnover EPA / Game
12
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
3
4th Down Efficiency
9
8
RZ Efficiency
20
26
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
30
Yards / Game
2
13
Passing Yards / Game
2
13
Rushing Yards / Game
6
13
EPA
EPA / Play
10
30
EPA / Pass
7
23
EPA / Rush
9
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
20
Interceptions / Game
3
22
Fumbles / Game
12
12
Turnover EPA / Game
29
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
16
4th Down Efficiency
31
27
RZ Efficiency
17
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
1-0-9
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
1-0-9
O/U