NYGGiants
0-4
34
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
037
DALCowboys
1-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
8
6
3
11
28
Cowboys
3
15
7
6
31
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
52
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
302
402
Total Plays
63
64
Yards / Play
4.8
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.09
+0.05
Passing Yards
213
276
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
24/33(73%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
8.4
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.11
Rushing Yards
89
126
Rush Attempts
27
29
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
28
Passing 1st downs
11
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
54%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
9
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.77
-14.91
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-11
-12
Sack EPA
-9.88
-3.12
Penalties
8
3
Penalty Yards
81
--
Penalty EPA
-11.36
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model74.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+175
Home nfelo
1,525
Away nfelo
1,397
Home Field
+4.5
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+42.9
Home QB Adjustment
+31.5
Away QB Adjustment
-11.4
Market Regression
-37.1
Final Difference
185.3
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
-11.4
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+1.8
Team Elo Adj
+31.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
28
Yards / Game
31
23
Passing Yards / Game
26
16
Rushing Yards / Game
19
31
EPA
EPA / Play
28
21
EPA / Pass
27
18
EPA / Rush
19
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
7
Interceptions / Game
11
23
Fumbles / Game
30
2
Turnover EPA / Game
12
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
27
4th Down Efficiency
8
11
RZ Efficiency
31
20
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
9
Yards / Game
13
12
Passing Yards / Game
4
26
Rushing Yards / Game
17
11
EPA
EPA / Play
24
15
EPA / Pass
25
17
EPA / Rush
18
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
2
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
31
13
Turnover EPA / Game
4
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
24
4th Down Efficiency
22
22
RZ Efficiency
29
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cowboys
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U