NYG logo
NYG
4-2
41
35
DAL
1-4
DAL logo
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
17
14
3
41
Cowboys
10
4
0
15
29

Spread

NYG logo
+3

Total

OVER
45

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
497
256
Total Plays
73
57
Yards / Play
6.8
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.22
Passing Yards
297
215
Comp/Att
25/35(71%)
21/41(51%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.23
Rushing Yards
200
41
Rush Attempts
37
13
Yards / Rush
5.4
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
25
14
Passing 1st downs
17
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
38%
0%
3rd Down Conversions
5
--
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
75%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
5
2
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-25.78
-7.82
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-9
-13
Sack EPA
-1.48
-7.94
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
46
42
Penalty EPA
-4.44
-2.96

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+96
Home nfelo
1,565
Away nfelo
1,530
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+15.8
Home QB Adjustment
+18.3
Away QB Adjustment
+2.5
Market Regression
+22.8
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Giants logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
9
31
Yards / Game
4
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
19
Rushing Yards / Game
6
11

EPA

EPA / Play
21
26
EPA / Pass
14
27
EPA / Rush
27
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
22
Interceptions / Game
31
6
Fumbles / Game
31
14
Turnover EPA / Game
1
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
22
4th Down Efficiency
32
12
RZ Efficiency
11
30
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Cowboys logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
9
17
Yards / Game
8
7
Passing Yards / Game
21
13
Rushing Yards / Game
15
8

EPA

EPA / Play
18
3
EPA / Pass
15
3
EPA / Rush
8
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
31
Interceptions / Game
21
14
Fumbles / Game
13
1
Turnover EPA / Game
8
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
1
4th Down Efficiency
9
21
RZ Efficiency
8
18