NYGGiants
3-3
21
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
031
DALCowboys
5-1
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
14
0
7
21
Cowboys
7
7
7
10
31
Spread
-5.5
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
352
423
Total Plays
59
60
Yards / Play
6.0
7.0
EPA / Play
+0.02
+0.18
Passing Yards
--
267
Comp/Att
21/33(64%)
17/23(74%)
Yards / Pass
--
11.6
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.80
Rushing Yards
104
156
Rush Attempts
26
35
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
20
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
38%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
5
9
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-5.95
-4.87
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-12
Sack EPA
--
-2.30
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
--
46
Penalty EPA
--
-8.38
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model68.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+107
Home nfelo
1,525
Away nfelo
1,469
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+6.6
Home QB Adjustment
+11.4
Away QB Adjustment
+4.7
Market Regression
+7.1
Final Difference
130.9
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+4.7
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+11.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
15
Yards / Game
11
21
Passing Yards / Game
12
18
Rushing Yards / Game
23
8
EPA
EPA / Play
16
21
EPA / Pass
13
19
EPA / Rush
26
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
18
Interceptions / Game
15
12
Fumbles / Game
22
2
Turnover EPA / Game
9
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
29
4th Down Efficiency
31
18
RZ Efficiency
8
25
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
22
Yards / Game
9
29
Passing Yards / Game
15
31
Rushing Yards / Game
2
30
EPA
EPA / Play
2
20
EPA / Pass
1
16
EPA / Rush
8
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
23
Interceptions / Game
3
11
Fumbles / Game
27
10
Turnover EPA / Game
22
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
9
RZ Efficiency
3
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U