nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ cowboys week 14, 2011

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NYG logo
NYGGiants
6-6
37
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0
34
DALCowboys
7-5
DAL logo
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
10
7
15
35
Cowboys
7
10
3
14
34

Spread

NYG logo
+4.5

Total

OVER
48.5

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
512
444
Total Plays
79
58
Yards / Play
6.5
7.7
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.23
Passing Yards
--
305
Comp/Att
27/47(57%)
21/31(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
9.8
EPA / Pass
+0.34
+0.44
Rushing Yards
112
139
Rush Attempts
32
24
Yards / Rush
3.5
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
28
23
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
43%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.97
-4.64
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-16
Sack EPA
--
-4.39
Penalties
6
10
Penalty Yards
55
51
Penalty EPA
-0.43
-7.83

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5

Win Probability

Market66.1%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+57
Home nfelo
1,553
Away nfelo
1,527
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-14.4
Home QB Adjustment
+5.3
Away QB Adjustment
+19.7
Market Regression
+10.7
Final Difference
116.0
Model Spread
-4.5

Quarterbacks

E. Manning headshot

E. Manning

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+19.7
Value
Ptile
09/25
5.0
81
10/02
6.3
87
10/09
0.9
59
10/16
2.5
70
10/30
6.7
89
11/06
0.4
55
11/13
2.2
67
11/20
-2.8
33
11/28
7.9
93
12/04
5.3
82
A. Romo headshot

A. Romo

Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+5.3
Value
Ptile
09/26
-1.8
37
10/02
4.5
79
10/16
2.4
69
10/23
-0.4
49
10/30
-4.9
19
11/06
5.5
84
11/13
9.8
96
11/20
2.5
69
11/24
-0.4
49
12/04
0.1
53

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Giants logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
7
15
Yards / Game
8
14
Passing Yards / Game
3
17
Rushing Yards / Game
29
6

EPA

EPA / Play
5
17
EPA / Pass
5
18
EPA / Rush
26
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
14
Interceptions / Game
12
18
Fumbles / Game
16
12
Turnover EPA / Game
29
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
22
4th Down Efficiency
25
8
RZ Efficiency
9
22
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Cowboys logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
15
20
Yards / Game
10
22
Passing Yards / Game
7
27
Rushing Yards / Game
17
18

EPA

EPA / Play
11
24
EPA / Pass
6
26
EPA / Rush
22
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
23
Interceptions / Game
7
14
Fumbles / Game
17
11
Turnover EPA / Game
24
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
16
4th Down Efficiency
9
20
RZ Efficiency
19
21

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/25
13
W
W
U
10/02
4
W
W
O
10/09
-11
L
L
O
10/16
3
W
P
O
10/30
3
W
L
U
11/06
4
W
W
U
11/13
-7
L
L
O
11/20
-7
L
L
U
11/28
-25
L
L
O
12/04
-3
L
W
O
DAL logo

Cowboys

6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/26
2
W
L
U
10/02
-4
L
L
O
10/16
-4
L
W
U
10/23
27
W
W
U
10/30
-27
L
L
U
11/06
10
W
L
U
11/13
37
W
W
O
11/20
3
W
L
O
11/24
1
W
L
U
12/04
-6
L
L
U