NYGGiants
6-6
37
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
034
DALCowboys
7-5
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
10
7
15
35
Cowboys
7
10
3
14
34
Spread
+4.5
Total
OVER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
512
444
Total Plays
79
58
Yards / Play
6.5
7.7
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.23
Passing Yards
--
305
Comp/Att
27/47(57%)
21/31(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
9.8
EPA / Pass
+0.34
+0.44
Rushing Yards
112
139
Rush Attempts
32
24
Yards / Rush
3.5
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
23
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
43%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.97
-4.64
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-16
Sack EPA
--
-4.39
Penalties
6
10
Penalty Yards
55
51
Penalty EPA
-0.43
-7.83
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+60
Home nfelo
1,554
Away nfelo
1,525
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-14.4
Home QB Adjustment
+5.3
Away QB Adjustment
+19.7
Market Regression
+10.7
Final Difference
116.0
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+19.7
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+5.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
15
Yards / Game
8
14
Passing Yards / Game
3
17
Rushing Yards / Game
29
6
EPA
EPA / Play
5
17
EPA / Pass
5
18
EPA / Rush
26
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
14
Interceptions / Game
12
18
Fumbles / Game
16
12
Turnover EPA / Game
29
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
22
4th Down Efficiency
25
8
RZ Efficiency
9
22
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
20
Yards / Game
10
22
Passing Yards / Game
7
27
Rushing Yards / Game
17
18
EPA
EPA / Play
11
24
EPA / Pass
6
26
EPA / Rush
22
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
23
Interceptions / Game
7
14
Fumbles / Game
17
11
Turnover EPA / Game
24
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
16
4th Down Efficiency
9
20
RZ Efficiency
19
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U