NYGGiants
5-7
31
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
77°F
6 mph
24
MIADolphins
5-7
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
77°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
14
7
7
31
Dolphins
7
10
7
0
24
Spread
-2
Total
OVER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
429
363
Total Plays
62
64
Yards / Play
6.9
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.01
Passing Yards
--
235
Comp/Att
27/31(87%)
25/41(61%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.75
-0.10
Rushing Yards
92
128
Rush Attempts
31
22
Yards / Rush
3.0
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.36
+0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
16
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
--
3rd Down %
45%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.12
-5.62
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-1
Sack EPA
--
-0.26
Penalties
3
12
Penalty Yards
25
123
Penalty EPA
-1.19
-14.32
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-2.0
Model
+1.0
Win Probability
Market54.7%
Model47.8%
Spread Pick
Dolphins+2.0
Expected Value
+0.9%
Cover Probability
51.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+54
Home nfelo
1,421
Away nfelo
1,441
Home Field
+81.3
Base HFA
+60.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-7.1
Home QB Adjustment
-7.2
Away QB Adjustment
-0.1
Market Regression
-10.6
Final Difference
15.1
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-0.1
R. Tannehill
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-7.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
18
Yards / Game
6
25
Passing Yards / Game
29
5
Rushing Yards / Game
18
28
EPA
EPA / Play
7
22
EPA / Pass
10
31
EPA / Rush
21
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
7
Interceptions / Game
17
17
Fumbles / Game
9
31
Turnover EPA / Game
14
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
28
4th Down Efficiency
8
5
RZ Efficiency
29
22
Dolphins Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
30
Yards / Game
27
32
Passing Yards / Game
8
13
Rushing Yards / Game
23
24
EPA
EPA / Play
23
31
EPA / Pass
20
25
EPA / Rush
17
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
28
Interceptions / Game
11
10
Fumbles / Game
3
9
Turnover EPA / Game
23
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
32
4th Down Efficiency
28
22
RZ Efficiency
19
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Dolphins
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U