NYGGiants
3-2
0
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
57°F
5 mph
27
PHIEagles
4-1
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
57°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
0
0
0
Eagles
10
10
7
0
27
Spread
-1.5
Total
UNDER
50.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
254
448
Total Plays
60
71
Yards / Play
4.2
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.43
+0.04
Passing Yards
168
245
Comp/Att
17/28(61%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
7.2
EPA / Pass
-0.58
-0.00
Rushing Yards
86
203
Rush Attempts
24
36
Yards / Rush
3.6
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.19
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
24
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
2
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
14%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.95
-10.65
Sacks
8
1
Sack Yards
-43
-3
Sack EPA
-12.04
-0.33
Penalties
10
3
Penalty Yards
75
25
Penalty EPA
-7.07
-2.60
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model55.2%
Spread Pick
Eagles-1.5
Expected Value
+4.1%
Cover Probability
54.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+89
Home nfelo
1,528
Away nfelo
1,482
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-13.2
Home QB Adjustment
+2.2
Away QB Adjustment
+15.5
Market Regression
-29.4
Final Difference
36.0
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+15.5
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+2.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
22
Yards / Game
11
28
Passing Yards / Game
12
7
Rushing Yards / Game
23
15
EPA
EPA / Play
16
7
EPA / Pass
13
17
EPA / Rush
26
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
19
Interceptions / Game
15
22
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
9
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
12
4th Down Efficiency
31
4
RZ Efficiency
8
20
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
22
Yards / Game
4
29
Passing Yards / Game
19
31
Rushing Yards / Game
8
30
EPA
EPA / Play
14
20
EPA / Pass
15
16
EPA / Rush
21
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
23
Interceptions / Game
32
11
Fumbles / Game
31
10
Turnover EPA / Game
1
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
4
4th Down Efficiency
2
9
RZ Efficiency
24
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-3-1
O/U