NYGGiants
5-2
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
56°F
10 mph
40
PHIEagles
4-2
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
56°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
7
10
0
17
Eagles
13
17
3
7
40
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
356
391
Total Plays
73
49
Yards / Play
4.9
8.0
EPA / Play
-0.13
+0.27
Passing Yards
215
211
Comp/Att
20/39(51%)
17/23(74%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
9.2
EPA / Pass
-0.23
+0.47
Rushing Yards
141
180
Rush Attempts
32
24
Yards / Rush
4.4
7.5
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
17
Passing 1st downs
12
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
50%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
67%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-13.66
-11.22
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-7
-29
Sack EPA
-2.86
-8.54
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
25
45
Penalty EPA
+4.90
-5.27
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model53.0%
Spread Pick
Eagles+2.5
Expected Value
+2.1%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+7
Home nfelo
1,595
Away nfelo
1,628
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-16.1
Home QB Adjustment
-11.6
Away QB Adjustment
+4.5
Market Regression
-56.1
Final Difference
-20.7
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+4.5
D. McNabb
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-11.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
19
Yards / Game
9
16
Passing Yards / Game
6
32
Rushing Yards / Game
17
12
EPA
EPA / Play
8
9
EPA / Pass
8
9
EPA / Rush
16
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
10
Interceptions / Game
10
4
Fumbles / Game
30
14
Turnover EPA / Game
12
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
4
4th Down Efficiency
9
25
RZ Efficiency
20
25
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
30
Yards / Game
11
13
Passing Yards / Game
5
13
Rushing Yards / Game
24
13
EPA
EPA / Play
14
30
EPA / Pass
12
23
EPA / Rush
10
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
20
Interceptions / Game
8
22
Fumbles / Game
27
12
Turnover EPA / Game
23
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
16
4th Down Efficiency
28
27
RZ Efficiency
27
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-2-4
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
5-1-4
O/U