NYGGiants
1-6
15
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
56°F
13 mph
7
PHIEagles
3-4
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
56°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
6
6
0
3
15
Eagles
0
0
0
1
1
Spread
+5.5
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
325
200
Total Plays
71
58
Yards / Play
4.6
3.4
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.31
Passing Yards
237
152
Comp/Att
25/39(64%)
23/35(66%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
4.3
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.47
Rushing Yards
88
48
Rush Attempts
31
19
Yards / Rush
2.8
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
15
Passing 1st downs
12
10
Rushing 1st downs
3
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
42%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
19
12
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.26
-7.56
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-9
-36
Sack EPA
-1.74
-11.44
Penalties
11
4
Penalty Yards
92
48
Penalty EPA
-6.00
-5.13
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model68.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+171
Home nfelo
1,541
Away nfelo
1,462
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+36.3
Home QB Adjustment
+10.8
Away QB Adjustment
-25.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
130.9
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-25.5
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+10.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
18
Yards / Game
29
30
Passing Yards / Game
13
31
Rushing Yards / Game
29
13
EPA
EPA / Play
32
21
EPA / Pass
28
20
EPA / Rush
32
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
9
Interceptions / Game
32
6
Fumbles / Game
31
3
Turnover EPA / Game
1
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
24
4th Down Efficiency
15
11
RZ Efficiency
30
12
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
17
Yards / Game
2
8
Passing Yards / Game
4
2
Rushing Yards / Game
1
12
EPA
EPA / Play
4
7
EPA / Pass
5
8
EPA / Rush
2
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
20
Interceptions / Game
3
12
Fumbles / Game
12
5
Turnover EPA / Game
23
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
22
4th Down Efficiency
11
3
RZ Efficiency
13
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
8-2
O/U