NYGGiants
2-7
27
TBD
MetLife Stadium
48°F
8 mph
34
NYJJets
1-7
TBD
MetLife Stadium
48°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
13
14
0
27
Jets
14
0
4
10
28
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
283
294
Total Plays
65
61
Yards / Play
4.4
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.07
Passing Yards
260
218
Comp/Att
26/42(62%)
19/30(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.11
+0.15
Rushing Yards
23
76
Rush Attempts
17
29
Yards / Rush
1.4
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.51
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
18
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
44%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
18
13
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-8.06
--
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-50
-12
Sack EPA
-15.48
-2.82
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
62
54
Penalty EPA
-6.33
-5.04
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model52.3%
Spread Pick
Jets+3.0
Expected Value
+8.7%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+27
Home nfelo
1,323
Away nfelo
1,379
Home Field
+50.6
Base HFA
+50.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+31.7
Home QB Adjustment
+13.4
Away QB Adjustment
-18.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-15.8
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-18.3
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.1
Team Elo Adj
+13.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
16
Yards / Game
23
7
Passing Yards / Game
16
21
Rushing Yards / Game
19
2
EPA
EPA / Play
26
9
EPA / Pass
27
19
EPA / Rush
11
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
4
Interceptions / Game
25
18
Fumbles / Game
32
20
Turnover EPA / Game
2
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
15
4th Down Efficiency
18
2
RZ Efficiency
17
13
Jets Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
30
Yards / Game
32
26
Passing Yards / Game
19
17
Rushing Yards / Game
31
20
EPA
EPA / Play
32
24
EPA / Pass
31
28
EPA / Rush
31
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
13
Interceptions / Game
23
25
Fumbles / Game
18
28
Turnover EPA / Game
16
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
20
4th Down Efficiency
27
24
RZ Efficiency
21
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Jets
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
5-5
O/U