NYGGiants
-
14
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
035
DETLions
-
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
7
0
7
14
Lions
14
0
13
8
35
Spread
-6.5
Total
OVER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
197
419
Total Plays
57
64
Yards / Play
3.5
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.26
+0.10
Passing Yards
144
343
Comp/Att
18/33(55%)
22/33(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
10.4
EPA / Pass
-0.34
+0.63
Rushing Yards
53
76
Rush Attempts
22
30
Yards / Rush
2.4
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
23%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
3
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.38
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-19
-5
Sack EPA
-5.16
-1.44
Penalties
4
8
Penalty Yards
25
85
Penalty EPA
-2.82
-11.70
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model67.4%
Spread Pick
Giants+6.5
Expected Value
+2.1%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+94
Home nfelo
1,496
Away nfelo
1,476
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+11.1
Home QB Adjustment
-6.0
Away QB Adjustment
-17.1
Market Regression
+20.8
Final Difference
126.0
Model Spread
-5.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-17.1
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-6.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
3
Yards / Game
11
2
Passing Yards / Game
12
13
Rushing Yards / Game
23
1
EPA
EPA / Play
16
5
EPA / Pass
13
10
EPA / Rush
26
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
11
Interceptions / Game
15
6
Fumbles / Game
22
20
Turnover EPA / Game
9
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
10
4th Down Efficiency
31
17
RZ Efficiency
8
11
Lions Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
22
Yards / Game
17
29
Passing Yards / Game
7
31
Rushing Yards / Game
28
30
EPA
EPA / Play
21
20
EPA / Pass
14
16
EPA / Rush
24
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
23
Interceptions / Game
9
11
Fumbles / Game
8
10
Turnover EPA / Game
28
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
4
4th Down Efficiency
16
9
RZ Efficiency
15
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
Lions
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
4-5-1
O/U