NYGGiants
2-5
26
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
031
DETLions
2-3
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
13
6
7
26
Lions
8
3
7
7
25
Spread
+6.5
Total
OVER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
370
375
Total Plays
69
61
Yards / Play
5.4
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.00
Passing Yards
290
316
Comp/Att
28/42(67%)
25/32(78%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
9.9
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.44
Rushing Yards
80
59
Rush Attempts
24
25
Yards / Rush
3.3
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
17
Passing 1st downs
15
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
58%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.33
-6.85
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-32
-26
Sack EPA
-11.12
-4.48
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
44
75
Penalty EPA
-6.15
-8.92
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model75.0%
Spread Pick
Lions-6.5
Expected Value
+12.3%
Cover Probability
58.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+230
Home nfelo
1,499
Away nfelo
1,367
Home Field
+52.0
Base HFA
+52.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+45.3
Home QB Adjustment
+13.9
Away QB Adjustment
-31.5
Market Regression
-2.5
Final Difference
191.0
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-31.5
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+13.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
26
Yards / Game
23
31
Passing Yards / Game
16
27
Rushing Yards / Game
19
21
EPA
EPA / Play
26
23
EPA / Pass
27
26
EPA / Rush
11
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
13
Interceptions / Game
25
30
Fumbles / Game
32
7
Turnover EPA / Game
2
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
28
4th Down Efficiency
18
14
RZ Efficiency
17
18
Lions Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
30
Yards / Game
16
26
Passing Yards / Game
12
17
Rushing Yards / Game
21
20
EPA
EPA / Play
21
24
EPA / Pass
16
28
EPA / Rush
27
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
13
Interceptions / Game
21
25
Fumbles / Game
10
28
Turnover EPA / Game
14
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
20
4th Down Efficiency
24
24
RZ Efficiency
12
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Lions
4-5-1
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U