NYGGiants
5-9
23
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
020
DETLions
7-7
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Giants
3
10
0
1
3
17
Lions
0
3
7
8
0
18
Spread
+9.5
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
279
357
Total Plays
65
81
Yards / Play
4.3
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.16
Passing Yards
238
209
Comp/Att
23/42(55%)
25/43(58%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.13
Rushing Yards
41
148
Rush Attempts
21
36
Yards / Rush
2.0
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.68
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
24
Passing 1st downs
13
13
Rushing 1st downs
2
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
35%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
17
17
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.05
-15.07
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-18
-15
Sack EPA
-1.41
-3.55
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
30
60
Penalty EPA
-4.61
-6.72
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-9.5
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model77.3%
Spread Pick
Giants+9.5
Expected Value
+1.9%
Cover Probability
53.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+162
Home nfelo
1,524
Away nfelo
1,446
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+20.6
Home QB Adjustment
-13.4
Away QB Adjustment
-34.0
Market Regression
-2.8
Final Difference
212.5
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-34.0
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-13.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
14
Yards / Game
29
16
Passing Yards / Game
13
24
Rushing Yards / Game
29
6
EPA
EPA / Play
32
12
EPA / Pass
28
19
EPA / Rush
32
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
31
Interceptions / Game
32
16
Fumbles / Game
31
27
Turnover EPA / Game
1
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
1
4th Down Efficiency
15
30
RZ Efficiency
30
1
Lions Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
17
Yards / Game
5
8
Passing Yards / Game
16
2
Rushing Yards / Game
17
12
EPA
EPA / Play
19
7
EPA / Pass
12
8
EPA / Rush
25
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
20
Interceptions / Game
20
12
Fumbles / Game
31
5
Turnover EPA / Game
2
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
22
4th Down Efficiency
25
3
RZ Efficiency
4
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Lions
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
5-4-1
O/U