NYGGiants
3-1
27
TBD
Tottenham Stadium
70°F
022
GBPackers
3-1
TBD
Tottenham Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
7
3
14
27
Packers
10
10
0
0
20
Spread
+9
Total
OVER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
338
301
Total Plays
59
61
Yards / Play
5.7
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.27
+0.16
Passing Yards
213
207
Comp/Att
21/27(78%)
25/39(64%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
5.3
EPA / Pass
+0.50
+0.07
Rushing Yards
125
94
Rush Attempts
31
20
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.7
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
22
Passing 1st downs
12
15
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
55%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-4
-15
Sack EPA
-1.06
-2.68
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
63
37
Penalty EPA
-7.39
-5.15
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-9.0
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market77.7%
Model77.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+203
Home nfelo
1,589
Away nfelo
1,367
Home Field
-6.9
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-6.9
Net QB Adjustment
-12.6
Home QB Adjustment
-3.8
Away QB Adjustment
+8.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
216.8
Model Spread
-9.0
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+8.8
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+1.3
Team Elo Adj
-3.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
16
Yards / Game
19
16
Passing Yards / Game
25
13
Rushing Yards / Game
6
26
EPA
EPA / Play
8
20
EPA / Pass
17
14
EPA / Rush
3
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
26
Interceptions / Game
1
5
Fumbles / Game
10
14
Turnover EPA / Game
32
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
7
4th Down Efficiency
16
23
RZ Efficiency
5
11
Packers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
22
Yards / Game
17
25
Passing Yards / Game
13
2
Rushing Yards / Game
15
28
EPA
EPA / Play
16
31
EPA / Pass
18
21
EPA / Rush
10
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
5
Interceptions / Game
10
32
Fumbles / Game
9
3
Turnover EPA / Game
17
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
5
4th Down Efficiency
27
29
RZ Efficiency
22
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Packers
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U