NYGGiants
0-2
0
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
75°F
15 mph
38
CARPanthers
0-2
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
75°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
0
0
0
Panthers
7
10
14
7
38
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
150
402
Total Plays
50
74
Yards / Play
3.0
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.49
+0.19
Passing Yards
90
208
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
7.7
EPA / Pass
-0.77
+0.28
Rushing Yards
60
194
Rush Attempts
16
46
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
27
Passing 1st downs
5
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
15
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
25%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-5.04
-4.22
Sacks
7
1
Sack Yards
-45
-15
Sack EPA
-11.35
-2.47
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
45
32
Penalty EPA
-6.83
+0.35
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-2.5
Model
+1.0
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model47.9%
Spread Pick
Panthers+2.5
Expected Value
+3.5%
Cover Probability
54.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+67
Home nfelo
1,503
Away nfelo
1,521
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+0.3
Home QB Adjustment
-0.4
Away QB Adjustment
-0.7
Market Regression
-10.9
Final Difference
14.9
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-0.7
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-0.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
2
Yards / Game
29
3
Passing Yards / Game
13
17
Rushing Yards / Game
29
3
EPA
EPA / Play
32
6
EPA / Pass
28
5
EPA / Rush
32
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
9
Interceptions / Game
32
8
Fumbles / Game
31
9
Turnover EPA / Game
1
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
12
4th Down Efficiency
15
1
RZ Efficiency
30
3
Panthers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
17
Yards / Game
26
8
Passing Yards / Game
25
2
Rushing Yards / Game
12
12
EPA
EPA / Play
13
7
EPA / Pass
15
8
EPA / Rush
5
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
20
Interceptions / Game
14
12
Fumbles / Game
1
5
Turnover EPA / Game
30
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
22
4th Down Efficiency
2
3
RZ Efficiency
15
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Panthers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U