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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. giants @ seahawks week 9, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

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    +EV NFL Sides
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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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    Projected and realized opponent quality
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    Win total projections and results

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NYG logo
NYGGiants
5-2
41
TBD
Lumen Field
55°F
15 mph
7
SEASeahawks
4-3
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
55°F
15 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
21
14
6
0
41
Seahawks
0
0
0
7
7

Spread

NYG logo
-7

Total

OVER
40.5

Game Statistics

General
Giants logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
487
162
Total Plays
79
37
Yards / Play
6.2
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.30
-0.44
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
21/32(66%)
12/23(52%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.57
-0.47
Rushing Yards
197
49
Rush Attempts
47
14
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
Giants logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
30
8
Passing 1st downs
15
4
Rushing 1st downs
12
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
46%
13%
3rd Down Conversions
6
1
3rd Down Attempts
13
8
Red Zone %
57%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
7
1
Negative Plays
Giants logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.08
-15.05
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
5
9
Penalty Yards
40
70
Penalty EPA
-4.61
-9.99

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NYG logo
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-4.0

Win Probability

Market73.2%
Model65.8%
Spread Pick
SEA logo
Seahawks+7.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+12.0%
Cover Probability
55.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-63
Home nfelo
1,440
Away nfelo
1,543
Home Field
+25.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+14.6
Home QB Adjustment
+22.2
Away QB Adjustment
+7.6
Market Regression
+12.0
Final Difference
-113.3
Model Spread
+4.0

Quarterbacks

E. Manning headshot

E. Manning

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+7.6
Value
Ptile
12/21
6.5
87
12/27
-0.9
44
01/03
-5.1
20
09/12
0.9
54
09/19
-4.1
24
09/26
2.3
64
10/03
-3.4
27
10/10
3.5
72
10/17
0.9
54
10/25
4.5
79
C. Whitehurst headshot

C. Whitehurst

Proj. Value
-3.6
Team Elo Adj
+22.2
No recent game data available

Team Matchup Ranks

Giants Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Giants logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
9
27
Yards / Game
4
30
Passing Yards / Game
32
24
Rushing Yards / Game
6
21

EPA

EPA / Play
21
25
EPA / Pass
14
29
EPA / Rush
27
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
17
Interceptions / Game
31
27
Fumbles / Game
31
20
Turnover EPA / Game
1
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
26
4th Down Efficiency
32
7
RZ Efficiency
11
11
Seahawks Offense vs Giants Defense
Seahawks logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
22
17
Yards / Game
26
7
Passing Yards / Game
25
13
Rushing Yards / Game
31
8

EPA

EPA / Play
22
3
EPA / Pass
24
3
EPA / Rush
24
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
31
Interceptions / Game
20
14
Fumbles / Game
12
1
Turnover EPA / Game
12
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
1
4th Down Efficiency
29
21
RZ Efficiency
26
18

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYG logo

Giants

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/21
33
W
W
O
12/27
-32
L
L
O
01/03
-37
L
L
O
09/12
13
W
W
O
09/19
-24
L
L
O
09/26
-19
L
L
U
10/03
14
W
W
U
10/10
24
W
W
U
10/17
8
W
L
O
10/25
6
W
W
O
SEA logo

Seahawks

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/20
-17
L
L
U
12/27
-38
L
L
O
01/03
-4
L
W
U
09/12
25
W
W
P
09/19
-17
L
L
O
09/26
7
W
W
O
10/03
-17
L
L
U
10/17
3
W
W
O
10/24
12
W
W
U
10/31
-30
L
L
U