NYGGiants
3-5
17
TBD
Lumen Field
50°F
038
SEASeahawks
5-3
TBD
Lumen Field
50°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
7
10
0
0
17
Seahawks
7
7
3
21
38
Spread
-9.5
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
324
510
Total Plays
63
64
Yards / Play
5.1
8.0
EPA / Play
-0.13
+0.22
Passing Yards
270
160
Comp/Att
29/44(66%)
10/17(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
9.4
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.19
Rushing Yards
54
350
Rush Attempts
17
45
Yards / Rush
3.2
7.8
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
27
Passing 1st downs
15
8
Rushing 1st downs
2
19
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
50%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
100%
71%
Red Zone Conversions
2
5
Red Zone Attempts
2
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-10.55
-11.40
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-13
-12
Sack EPA
-6.35
-2.23
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
--
50
Penalty EPA
--
-8.03
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-9.5
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model78.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+257
Home nfelo
1,624
Away nfelo
1,441
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-10.6
Home QB Adjustment
+8.3
Away QB Adjustment
+18.9
Market Regression
-10.5
Final Difference
225.0
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.9
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+8.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
1
Yards / Game
11
1
Passing Yards / Game
12
6
Rushing Yards / Game
23
4
EPA
EPA / Play
16
4
EPA / Pass
13
4
EPA / Rush
26
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
12
Interceptions / Game
15
13
Fumbles / Game
22
15
Turnover EPA / Game
9
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
16
4th Down Efficiency
31
28
RZ Efficiency
8
22
Seahawks Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
22
Yards / Game
8
29
Passing Yards / Game
13
31
Rushing Yards / Game
1
30
EPA
EPA / Play
8
20
EPA / Pass
10
16
EPA / Rush
1
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
23
Interceptions / Game
5
11
Fumbles / Game
9
10
Turnover EPA / Game
31
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
4
4th Down Efficiency
29
9
RZ Efficiency
19
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-3-1
O/U