NYGGiants
-
21
TBD
Nissan Stadium
70°F
020
TENTitans
-
TBD
Nissan Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
13
8
21
Titans
7
6
7
0
20
Spread
+5.5
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
396
359
Total Plays
60
60
Yards / Play
6.6
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.03
Passing Yards
158
266
Comp/Att
17/22(77%)
20/33(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
8.1
EPA / Pass
-0.31
+0.24
Rushing Yards
238
93
Rush Attempts
33
26
Yards / Rush
7.2
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.24
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
19
Passing 1st downs
7
13
Rushing 1st downs
11
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
20%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
2
3
3rd Down Attempts
10
11
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-4.85
--
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-32
--
Sack EPA
-10.86
-0.62
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
45
50
Penalty EPA
-4.83
-5.29
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model71.2%
Spread Pick
Titans-5.5
Expected Value
+3.8%
Cover Probability
54.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+200
Home nfelo
1,512
Away nfelo
1,352
Home Field
+56.2
Base HFA
+36.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+12.8
Time Adj
+6.6
Net QB Adjustment
-14.9
Home QB Adjustment
-6.1
Away QB Adjustment
+8.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
157.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+8.8
R. Tannehill
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-6.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
12
Yards / Game
19
23
Passing Yards / Game
25
32
Rushing Yards / Game
6
1
EPA
EPA / Play
8
16
EPA / Pass
17
28
EPA / Rush
3
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
6
Interceptions / Game
1
13
Fumbles / Game
10
14
Turnover EPA / Game
32
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
3
4th Down Efficiency
16
32
RZ Efficiency
5
14
Titans Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
22
Yards / Game
30
25
Passing Yards / Game
24
2
Rushing Yards / Game
13
28
EPA
EPA / Play
25
31
EPA / Pass
23
21
EPA / Rush
26
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
5
Interceptions / Game
9
32
Fumbles / Game
11
3
Turnover EPA / Game
13
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
5
4th Down Efficiency
14
29
RZ Efficiency
6
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
2-8
O/U
Titans
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
2-7-1
O/U