NYGGiants
8-4
21
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
03
MINVikings
5-7
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
14
7
0
21
Vikings
3
0
0
0
3
Spread
-5
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
395
164
Total Plays
66
61
Yards / Play
6.0
2.7
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.31
Passing Yards
182
103
Comp/Att
22/37(59%)
17/35(49%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
2.9
EPA / Pass
-0.12
-0.44
Rushing Yards
213
61
Rush Attempts
28
22
Yards / Rush
7.6
2.8
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
10
Passing 1st downs
12
6
Rushing 1st downs
8
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
23%
13%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.22
-4.09
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-5
-23
Sack EPA
-2.31
-6.26
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
55
71
Penalty EPA
-7.47
-5.32
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-5.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market67.5%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
Vikings+5.0
Expected Value
+15.2%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-14
Home nfelo
1,554
Away nfelo
1,553
Home Field
+11.2
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-26.0
Home QB Adjustment
-17.8
Away QB Adjustment
+8.1
Market Regression
-0.8
Final Difference
-65.1
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+8.1
T. Jackson
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-17.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
18
Yards / Game
4
8
Passing Yards / Game
32
6
Rushing Yards / Game
6
9
EPA
EPA / Play
21
9
EPA / Pass
14
10
EPA / Rush
27
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
15
Interceptions / Game
31
17
Fumbles / Game
31
22
Turnover EPA / Game
1
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
24
4th Down Efficiency
32
19
RZ Efficiency
11
23
Vikings Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
17
Yards / Game
23
7
Passing Yards / Game
12
13
Rushing Yards / Game
10
8
EPA
EPA / Play
27
3
EPA / Pass
30
3
EPA / Rush
14
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
31
Interceptions / Game
32
14
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
2
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
1
4th Down Efficiency
15
21
RZ Efficiency
30
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Vikings
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U