NYGGiants
8-7
7
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
044
MINVikings
11-4
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
0
0
7
7
Vikings
7
24
13
0
44
Spread
-8.5
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
181
487
Total Plays
43
69
Yards / Play
4.2
7.1
EPA / Play
-0.38
+0.32
Passing Yards
146
--
Comp/Att
20/28(71%)
29/37(78%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
--
EPA / Pass
-0.39
+0.66
Rushing Yards
35
129
Rush Attempts
12
32
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.26
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
28
Passing 1st downs
8
17
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
13%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
1
4
3rd Down Attempts
8
12
Red Zone %
100%
63%
Red Zone Conversions
1
5
Red Zone Attempts
1
8
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.94
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-21
--
Sack EPA
-8.47
--
Penalties
13
8
Penalty Yards
95
--
Penalty EPA
-10.63
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-8.5
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market76.8%
Model72.4%
Spread Pick
Giants+8.5
Expected Value
+14.0%
Cover Probability
59.7%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+72
Home nfelo
1,604
Away nfelo
1,586
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+2.7
Home QB Adjustment
+24.1
Away QB Adjustment
+21.3
Market Regression
-33.6
Final Difference
167.9
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+21.3
B. Favre
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+24.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
8
Yards / Game
9
4
Passing Yards / Game
6
24
Rushing Yards / Game
17
1
EPA
EPA / Play
8
3
EPA / Pass
8
12
EPA / Rush
16
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
19
Interceptions / Game
10
27
Fumbles / Game
30
5
Turnover EPA / Game
12
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
2
4th Down Efficiency
9
4
RZ Efficiency
20
11
Vikings Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
30
Yards / Game
6
13
Passing Yards / Game
15
13
Rushing Yards / Game
11
13
EPA
EPA / Play
5
30
EPA / Pass
3
23
EPA / Rush
32
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
20
Interceptions / Game
1
22
Fumbles / Game
24
12
Turnover EPA / Game
25
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
16
4th Down Efficiency
8
27
RZ Efficiency
3
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
7-3
O/U
Vikings
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U