JAXJaguars
4-8
10
TBD
Soldier Field
19°F
8 mph
23
CHIBears
6-6
TBD
Soldier Field
19°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
3
0
0
7
10
Bears
10
10
0
3
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
278
296
Total Plays
69
61
Yards / Play
4.0
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.02
Passing Yards
159
210
Comp/Att
19/38(50%)
20/34(59%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.32
-0.11
Rushing Yards
119
86
Rush Attempts
28
26
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
16
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
29%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.62
-4.68
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-19
-9
Sack EPA
-4.16
-1.36
Penalties
4
1
Penalty Yards
21
--
Penalty EPA
-1.93
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
15
Yards / Game
20
21
Passing Yards / Game
6
9
Rushing Yards / Game
18
5
EPA
EPA / Play
18
7
EPA / Pass
19
10
EPA / Rush
6
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
21
Interceptions / Game
11
3
Fumbles / Game
20
22
Turnover EPA / Game
16
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
6
4th Down Efficiency
8
14
RZ Efficiency
15
20
Bears Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
21
Yards / Game
26
18
Passing Yards / Game
7
14
Rushing Yards / Game
22
14
EPA
EPA / Play
25
26
EPA / Pass
27
30
EPA / Rush
27
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
8
Interceptions / Game
15
18
Fumbles / Game
29
32
Turnover EPA / Game
14
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
21
4th Down Efficiency
23
10
RZ Efficiency
13
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U