JAXJaguars
6-9
13
TBD
Soldier Field
37°F
14 mph
33
CHIBears
12-3
TBD
Soldier Field
37°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
0
6
7
13
Bears
3
10
10
10
33
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
237
322
Total Plays
56
70
Yards / Play
4.2
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.28
+0.04
Passing Yards
146
153
Comp/Att
19/36(53%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
5.3
EPA / Pass
-0.43
-0.07
Rushing Yards
91
169
Rush Attempts
16
40
Yards / Rush
5.7
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.15
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
19
Passing 1st downs
11
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
36%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-16.95
-4.30
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-43
-6
Sack EPA
-5.32
-4.30
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
14
14
Penalty EPA
-3.35
-3.00
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
2
Yards / Game
21
14
Passing Yards / Game
12
28
Rushing Yards / Game
26
2
EPA
EPA / Play
31
3
EPA / Pass
31
7
EPA / Rush
31
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
31
Interceptions / Game
7
9
Fumbles / Game
20
3
Turnover EPA / Game
17
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
9
4th Down Efficiency
28
3
RZ Efficiency
31
12
Bears Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
7
Yards / Game
27
16
Passing Yards / Game
30
29
Rushing Yards / Game
16
10
EPA
EPA / Play
18
17
EPA / Pass
23
22
EPA / Rush
15
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
3
Interceptions / Game
15
28
Fumbles / Game
2
19
Turnover EPA / Game
15
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
20
4th Down Efficiency
15
5
RZ Efficiency
18
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U