JAXJaguars
3-4
19
TBD
Paycor Stadium
66°F
1 mph
21
CINBengals
0-8
TBD
Paycor Stadium
66°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
3
0
10
13
Bengals
7
7
7
0
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
275
312
Total Plays
63
62
Yards / Play
4.4
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.09
Passing Yards
207
153
Comp/Att
23/39(59%)
21/31(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.16
-0.07
Rushing Yards
68
159
Rush Attempts
21
29
Yards / Rush
3.2
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.01
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
20
Passing 1st downs
12
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
38%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.57
-12.24
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-15
-9
Sack EPA
-4.16
-2.47
Penalties
12
5
Penalty Yards
86
39
Penalty EPA
-16.06
-4.46
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
19
Yards / Game
20
12
Passing Yards / Game
6
2
Rushing Yards / Game
18
20
EPA
EPA / Play
18
15
EPA / Pass
19
22
EPA / Rush
6
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
3
Interceptions / Game
11
23
Fumbles / Game
20
16
Turnover EPA / Game
16
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
24
4th Down Efficiency
8
10
RZ Efficiency
15
26
Bengals Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
21
Yards / Game
32
18
Passing Yards / Game
23
14
Rushing Yards / Game
29
14
EPA
EPA / Play
31
26
EPA / Pass
28
30
EPA / Rush
32
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
8
Interceptions / Game
17
18
Fumbles / Game
25
32
Turnover EPA / Game
18
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
21
4th Down Efficiency
15
10
RZ Efficiency
26
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U