JAXJaguars
3-8
14
TBD
Paycor Stadium
42°F
8 mph
10
CINBengals
4-7
TBD
Paycor Stadium
42°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
0
0
7
14
Bengals
0
7
3
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
255
200
Total Plays
65
58
Yards / Play
3.9
3.4
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.17
Passing Yards
193
140
Comp/Att
23/32(72%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.7
EPA / Pass
+0.19
-0.20
Rushing Yards
62
60
Rush Attempts
25
27
Yards / Rush
2.5
2.2
EPA / Rush
-0.34
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
12
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
50%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.48
-1.56
Sacks
8
1
Sack Yards
-49
-7
Sack EPA
-8.27
-2.34
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
40
54
Penalty EPA
-3.19
-4.53
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
13
Yards / Game
21
9
Passing Yards / Game
12
7
Rushing Yards / Game
26
11
EPA
EPA / Play
31
6
EPA / Pass
31
11
EPA / Rush
31
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
25
Interceptions / Game
7
25
Fumbles / Game
20
3
Turnover EPA / Game
17
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
18
4th Down Efficiency
28
12
RZ Efficiency
31
8
Bengals Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
7
Yards / Game
23
16
Passing Yards / Game
22
29
Rushing Yards / Game
19
10
EPA
EPA / Play
28
17
EPA / Pass
24
22
EPA / Rush
20
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
3
Interceptions / Game
31
28
Fumbles / Game
8
19
Turnover EPA / Game
12
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
20
4th Down Efficiency
27
5
RZ Efficiency
24
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U