JAXJaguars
2-3
24
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
43°F
6 mph
17
DENBroncos
4-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
43°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
3
7
14
0
24
Broncos
7
0
3
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
416
323
Total Plays
70
60
Yards / Play
5.9
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.05
Passing Yards
261
--
Comp/Att
25/34(74%)
21/37(57%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
--
EPA / Pass
+0.13
-0.07
Rushing Yards
155
131
Rush Attempts
34
23
Yards / Rush
4.6
5.7
EPA / Rush
+0.13
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
19
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
42%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-7.65
-10.55
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-15
--
Sack EPA
-5.64
--
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
45
52
Penalty EPA
-5.02
-6.07
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
30
Yards / Game
20
29
Passing Yards / Game
6
21
Rushing Yards / Game
18
27
EPA
EPA / Play
18
32
EPA / Pass
19
31
EPA / Rush
6
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
32
Interceptions / Game
11
31
Fumbles / Game
20
22
Turnover EPA / Game
16
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
26
4th Down Efficiency
8
18
RZ Efficiency
15
27
Broncos Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
21
Yards / Game
2
18
Passing Yards / Game
25
14
Rushing Yards / Game
11
14
EPA
EPA / Play
5
26
EPA / Pass
4
30
EPA / Rush
5
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
8
Interceptions / Game
24
18
Fumbles / Game
18
32
Turnover EPA / Game
10
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
21
4th Down Efficiency
27
10
RZ Efficiency
16
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U