JAXJaguars
4-8
15
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
44°F
8 mph
10
CLEBrowns
6-6
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
44°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
9
0
0
6
15
Browns
0
0
1
3
4
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
282
220
Total Plays
76
48
Yards / Play
3.7
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.24
Passing Yards
154
173
Comp/Att
20/35(57%)
21/30(70%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
5.8
EPA / Pass
-0.30
-0.25
Rushing Yards
128
47
Rush Attempts
33
15
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
11
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
44%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
11
Red Zone %
25%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-11.05
-3.46
Sacks
8
3
Sack Yards
-48
-11
Sack EPA
-13.43
-2.69
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
85
72
Penalty EPA
-6.39
-5.96
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
15
Yards / Game
21
21
Passing Yards / Game
12
4
Rushing Yards / Game
26
28
EPA
EPA / Play
31
9
EPA / Pass
31
3
EPA / Rush
31
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
4
Interceptions / Game
7
1
Fumbles / Game
20
27
Turnover EPA / Game
17
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
15
4th Down Efficiency
28
9
RZ Efficiency
31
5
Browns Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
7
Yards / Game
31
16
Passing Yards / Game
21
29
Rushing Yards / Game
31
10
EPA
EPA / Play
24
17
EPA / Pass
26
22
EPA / Rush
27
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
3
Interceptions / Game
23
28
Fumbles / Game
15
19
Turnover EPA / Game
13
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
20
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
23
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U