JAXJaguars
3-1
21
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
68°F
9 mph
34
LACChargers
2-2
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
68°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
7
0
14
21
Chargers
14
7
6
7
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
429
386
Total Plays
75
62
Yards / Play
5.7
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.28
Passing Yards
349
210
Comp/Att
36/54(67%)
17/26(65%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
8.1
EPA / Pass
-0.04
+0.51
Rushing Yards
80
176
Rush Attempts
18
35
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.0
EPA / Rush
+0.44
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
18
Passing 1st downs
19
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
50%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
7
9
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
75%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.94
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-8
-1
Sack EPA
-2.83
-2.06
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
33
44
Penalty EPA
-3.59
-4.38
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
10
Yards / Game
21
21
Passing Yards / Game
18
29
Rushing Yards / Game
15
3
EPA
EPA / Play
22
21
EPA / Pass
18
19
EPA / Rush
19
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
29
Interceptions / Game
4
6
Fumbles / Game
11
14
Turnover EPA / Game
21
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
12
4th Down Efficiency
12
20
RZ Efficiency
31
13
Chargers Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
7
Yards / Game
10
11
Passing Yards / Game
10
9
Rushing Yards / Game
7
11
EPA
EPA / Play
3
14
EPA / Pass
3
20
EPA / Rush
4
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
23
Interceptions / Game
1
17
Fumbles / Game
3
10
Turnover EPA / Game
31
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
24
4th Down Efficiency
4
17
RZ Efficiency
2
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U