JAXJaguars
2-1
17
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
78°F
10 mph
7
KCChiefs
2-2
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
78°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
3
7
0
7
17
Chiefs
0
0
0
7
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
357
271
Total Plays
66
56
Yards / Play
5.4
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.12
Passing Yards
201
261
Comp/Att
20/27(74%)
25/43(58%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
6.1
EPA / Pass
+0.39
+0.07
Rushing Yards
156
10
Rush Attempts
35
10
Yards / Rush
4.5
1.0
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.55
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
14
Passing 1st downs
12
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
--
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
53%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.51
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-17
-18
Sack EPA
-5.16
-3.25
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
--
25
Penalty EPA
--
-2.61
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
15
Yards / Game
8
12
Passing Yards / Game
20
22
Rushing Yards / Game
2
28
EPA
EPA / Play
4
14
EPA / Pass
4
10
EPA / Rush
1
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
1
Interceptions / Game
2
24
Fumbles / Game
7
18
Turnover EPA / Game
30
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
1
4th Down Efficiency
8
1
RZ Efficiency
9
1
Chiefs Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
11
Yards / Game
31
13
Passing Yards / Game
12
26
Rushing Yards / Game
32
11
EPA
EPA / Play
30
18
EPA / Pass
28
19
EPA / Rush
29
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
18
Interceptions / Game
24
4
Fumbles / Game
15
12
Turnover EPA / Game
13
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
21
4th Down Efficiency
3
14
RZ Efficiency
23
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U