JAXJaguars
4-2
27
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
024
INDColts
4-1
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
10
3
14
27
Colts
0
14
0
10
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
416
446
Total Plays
61
58
Yards / Play
6.8
7.7
EPA / Play
+0.27
+0.16
Passing Yards
288
359
Comp/Att
23/31(74%)
27/39(69%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
9.2
EPA / Pass
+0.61
+0.23
Rushing Yards
128
87
Rush Attempts
27
18
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.23
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
23
Passing 1st downs
15
17
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
45%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
20%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-5.85
-9.31
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-14
-9
Sack EPA
-2.49
-0.82
Penalties
6
12
Penalty Yards
48
62
Penalty EPA
-5.52
-6.33
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
19
Yards / Game
21
28
Passing Yards / Game
18
32
Rushing Yards / Game
15
26
EPA
EPA / Play
22
25
EPA / Pass
18
25
EPA / Rush
19
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
32
Interceptions / Game
4
12
Fumbles / Game
11
9
Turnover EPA / Game
21
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
25
4th Down Efficiency
12
8
RZ Efficiency
31
12
Colts Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
7
Yards / Game
2
11
Passing Yards / Game
15
9
Rushing Yards / Game
21
11
EPA
EPA / Play
1
14
EPA / Pass
1
20
EPA / Rush
7
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
23
Interceptions / Game
2
17
Fumbles / Game
9
10
Turnover EPA / Game
30
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
24
4th Down Efficiency
8
17
RZ Efficiency
3
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U