JAXJaguars
6-5
24
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
81°F
11 mph
10
MIADolphins
5-6
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
81°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
3
14
0
7
24
Dolphins
7
0
0
3
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
353
309
Total Plays
57
65
Yards / Play
6.2
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.21
-0.07
Passing Yards
203
241
Comp/Att
16/22(73%)
27/42(64%)
Yards / Pass
9.2
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.44
-0.17
Rushing Yards
150
68
Rush Attempts
31
19
Yards / Rush
4.8
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.15
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
20
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
58%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-1.08
-6.86
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-26
-26
Sack EPA
-4.58
-7.46
Penalties
7
1
Penalty Yards
60
--
Penalty EPA
-4.98
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
5
Yards / Game
10
4
Passing Yards / Game
17
13
Rushing Yards / Game
3
7
EPA
EPA / Play
11
5
EPA / Pass
17
12
EPA / Rush
2
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
12
Interceptions / Game
11
31
Fumbles / Game
2
3
Turnover EPA / Game
25
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
16
4th Down Efficiency
14
24
RZ Efficiency
9
4
Dolphins Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
4
Yards / Game
20
2
Passing Yards / Game
15
11
Rushing Yards / Game
22
4
EPA
EPA / Play
28
3
EPA / Pass
24
3
EPA / Rush
26
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
20
Interceptions / Game
23
6
Fumbles / Game
5
29
Turnover EPA / Game
26
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
11
4th Down Efficiency
14
1
RZ Efficiency
22
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U