nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. jaguars @ dolphins week 13, 2006

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

JAX logo
JAXJaguars
6-5
24
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
81°F
11 mph
10
MIADolphins
5-6
MIA logo
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
81°F
11 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
3
14
0
7
24
Dolphins
7
0
0
3
10

Game Statistics

General
Jaguars logo
Dolphins logo
Total Yards
353
309
Total Plays
57
65
Yards / Play
6.2
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.21
-0.07
Passing Yards
203
241
Comp/Att
16/22(73%)
27/42(64%)
Yards / Pass
9.2
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.44
-0.17
Rushing Yards
150
68
Rush Attempts
31
19
Yards / Rush
4.8
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.15
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
Jaguars logo
Dolphins logo
1st Downs
18
20
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
58%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Jaguars logo
Dolphins logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-1.08
-6.86
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-26
-26
Sack EPA
-4.58
-7.46
Penalties
7
1
Penalty Yards
60
--
Penalty EPA
-4.98
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
JAX logo
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Jaguars Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Jaguars logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
9
5
Yards / Game
10
4
Passing Yards / Game
17
13
Rushing Yards / Game
3
7

EPA

EPA / Play
11
5
EPA / Pass
17
12
EPA / Rush
2
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
17
12
Interceptions / Game
11
31
Fumbles / Game
2
3
Turnover EPA / Game
25
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
16
4th Down Efficiency
14
24
RZ Efficiency
9
4
Dolphins Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Dolphins logo
Jaguars logo

Total

Points / Game
29
4
Yards / Game
20
2
Passing Yards / Game
15
11
Rushing Yards / Game
22
4

EPA

EPA / Play
28
3
EPA / Pass
24
3
EPA / Rush
26
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
20
Interceptions / Game
23
6
Fumbles / Game
5
29
Turnover EPA / Game
26
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
11
4th Down Efficiency
14
1
RZ Efficiency
22
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

JAX logo

Jaguars

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/18
9
W
W
P
09/24
-7
L
L
P
10/01
-6
L
L
P
10/08
41
W
W
P
10/22
-20
L
L
P
10/29
7
W
W
P
11/05
30
W
W
P
11/12
-3
L
L
P
11/20
16
W
W
P
11/26
-3
L
L
P
MIA logo

Dolphins

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/17
-10
L
L
P
09/24
3
W
L
P
10/01
-2
L
L
P
10/08
-10
L
L
P
10/15
-3
L
L
P
10/22
-10
L
L
P
11/05
18
W
W
P
11/12
3
W
W
P
11/19
4
W
W
P
11/23
17
W
W
P