JAXJaguars
-
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
75°F
9 mph
34
PHIEagles
-
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
75°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
14
3
0
0
17
Eagles
0
0
14
14
28
Spread
-10
Total
OVER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
306
420
Total Plays
70
82
Yards / Play
4.4
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.38
-0.12
Passing Yards
242
275
Comp/Att
24/43(56%)
27/45(60%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.28
-0.24
Rushing Yards
64
145
Rush Attempts
24
32
Yards / Rush
2.7
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
24
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
14%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
19
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-8.20
-16.47
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-24
-47
Sack EPA
-10.90
-14.16
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
55
50
Penalty EPA
-7.95
-4.57
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-11.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model80.3%
Spread Pick
Eagles-10.0
Expected Value
+3.8%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+279
Home nfelo
1,556
Away nfelo
1,344
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+4.8
Home QB Adjustment
+4.2
Away QB Adjustment
-0.6
Market Regression
-15.5
Final Difference
244.4
Model Spread
-10.5
Quarterbacks
C. Henne
Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
-0.6
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+4.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
22
Yards / Game
31
28
Passing Yards / Game
21
7
Rushing Yards / Game
21
15
EPA
EPA / Play
31
7
EPA / Pass
32
17
EPA / Rush
16
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
19
Interceptions / Game
26
22
Fumbles / Game
10
1
Turnover EPA / Game
11
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
12
4th Down Efficiency
25
4
RZ Efficiency
31
20
Eagles Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
26
Yards / Game
4
26
Passing Yards / Game
19
29
Rushing Yards / Game
8
27
EPA
EPA / Play
14
22
EPA / Pass
15
22
EPA / Rush
21
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
1
Interceptions / Game
32
30
Fumbles / Game
31
5
Turnover EPA / Game
1
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
23
4th Down Efficiency
2
9
RZ Efficiency
24
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
3-6-1
O/U