JAXJaguars
3-5
38
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
014
DETLions
0-8
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
3
21
7
7
38
Lions
7
0
0
7
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
384
256
Total Plays
61
52
Yards / Play
6.3
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.30
-0.21
Passing Yards
227
153
Comp/Att
18/27(67%)
11/18(61%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.66
-0.30
Rushing Yards
157
103
Rush Attempts
33
27
Yards / Rush
4.8
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.20
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
13
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
11
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
71%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
5
2
Red Zone Attempts
7
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-4.25
Sacks
1
7
Sack Yards
-11
-45
Sack EPA
-1.13
-11.81
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
33
46
Penalty EPA
-5.46
-4.76
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
32
Yards / Game
20
32
Passing Yards / Game
6
30
Rushing Yards / Game
18
32
EPA
EPA / Play
18
31
EPA / Pass
19
32
EPA / Rush
6
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
2
Interceptions / Game
11
32
Fumbles / Game
20
9
Turnover EPA / Game
16
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
29
4th Down Efficiency
8
22
RZ Efficiency
15
31
Lions Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
21
Yards / Game
30
18
Passing Yards / Game
17
14
Rushing Yards / Game
30
14
EPA
EPA / Play
29
26
EPA / Pass
32
30
EPA / Rush
18
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
8
Interceptions / Game
26
18
Fumbles / Game
25
32
Turnover EPA / Game
20
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
21
4th Down Efficiency
15
10
RZ Efficiency
3
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U