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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. jaguars @ packers week 15, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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JAX logo
JAXJaguars
7-6
28
TBD
Lambeau Field
12°F
13 mph
25
GBPackers
8-5
GB logo
TBD
Lambeau Field
12°F
13 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
7
7
7
28
Packers
0
4
7
8
19

Game Statistics

General
Jaguars logo
Packers logo
Total Yards
312
446
Total Plays
57
68
Yards / Play
5.5
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.04
Passing Yards
115
352
Comp/Att
9/20(45%)
30/45(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
7.8
EPA / Pass
-0.22
+0.18
Rushing Yards
197
94
Rush Attempts
36
21
Yards / Rush
5.5
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.21
-0.48
Downs & Conversions
Jaguars logo
Packers logo
1st Downs
19
26
Passing 1st downs
6
21
Rushing 1st downs
8
2
Penalty 1st downs
5
3
3rd Down %
27%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
100%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Jaguars logo
Packers logo
Turnovers
1
6
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
-6.95
-17.97
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-6
-17
Sack EPA
-6.95
-1.50
Penalties
7
12
Penalty Yards
85
101
Penalty EPA
-5.81
-9.64

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
JAX logo
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Jaguars Offense vs Packers Defense
Jaguars logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
29
23
Yards / Game
21
25
Passing Yards / Game
18
13
Rushing Yards / Game
15
15

EPA

EPA / Play
22
29
EPA / Pass
18
30
EPA / Rush
19
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
31
Interceptions / Game
4
31
Fumbles / Game
11
32
Turnover EPA / Game
21
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
9
4th Down Efficiency
12
21
RZ Efficiency
31
27
Packers Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Packers logo
Jaguars logo

Total

Points / Game
5
7
Yards / Game
5
11
Passing Yards / Game
25
9
Rushing Yards / Game
11
11

EPA

EPA / Play
6
14
EPA / Pass
6
20
EPA / Rush
16
13

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
23
Interceptions / Game
28
17
Fumbles / Game
8
10
Turnover EPA / Game
15
13

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
3
24
4th Down Efficiency
8
17
RZ Efficiency
6
1

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

JAX logo

Jaguars

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
-7
L
L
P
10/10
-13
L
L
P
10/17
6
W
W
P
10/24
3
W
W
P
10/31
-14
L
L
P
11/14
6
W
W
P
11/21
-3
L
L
P
11/28
-11
L
L
P
12/05
-1
L
W
P
12/12
19
W
W
P
GB logo

Packers

7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
-7
L
L
P
10/11
-21
L
L
P
10/17
28
W
W
P
10/24
21
W
W
P
10/31
14
W
W
P
11/14
3
W
L
P
11/21
3
W
P
P
11/29
28
W
W
P
12/05
-30
L
L
P
12/12
3
W
L
P