JAXJaguars
12-4
3
TBD
Gillette Stadium
24°F
028
NEPatriots
10-6
TBD
Gillette Stadium
24°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
3
0
0
3
Patriots
0
7
14
1
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
292
307
Total Plays
62
59
Yards / Play
4.7
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.34
+0.05
Passing Yards
205
189
Comp/Att
21/39(54%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.28
+0.33
Rushing Yards
87
118
Rush Attempts
17
28
Yards / Rush
5.1
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.38
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
1
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
8%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
1
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.14
--
Sacks
6
4
Sack Yards
-42
-12
Sack EPA
-7.68
-4.07
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
40
--
Penalty EPA
-4.53
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
17
Yards / Game
16
24
Passing Yards / Game
18
20
Rushing Yards / Game
10
7
EPA
EPA / Play
13
23
EPA / Pass
12
25
EPA / Rush
11
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
26
Interceptions / Game
1
26
Fumbles / Game
17
29
Turnover EPA / Game
29
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
22
4th Down Efficiency
25
3
RZ Efficiency
9
24
Patriots Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
8
Yards / Game
6
5
Passing Yards / Game
7
21
Rushing Yards / Game
23
13
EPA
EPA / Play
7
5
EPA / Pass
4
11
EPA / Rush
16
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
16
Interceptions / Game
16
8
Fumbles / Game
7
31
Turnover EPA / Game
16
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
3
4th Down Efficiency
3
2
RZ Efficiency
3
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U