JAXJaguars
12-5
20
TBD
Gillette Stadium
37°F
5 mph
31
NEPatriots
16-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
37°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
7
3
3
20
Patriots
7
7
14
3
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
350
403
Total Plays
56
58
Yards / Play
6.3
6.9
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.36
Passing Yards
270
258
Comp/Att
22/33(67%)
26/28(93%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
9.2
EPA / Pass
+0.47
+0.80
Rushing Yards
80
145
Rush Attempts
22
29
Yards / Rush
3.6
5.0
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
24
Passing 1st downs
15
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
40%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
10
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.04
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-4
Sack EPA
-5.31
-1.42
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
42
74
Penalty EPA
-4.22
-7.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
1
Yards / Game
8
5
Passing Yards / Game
20
21
Rushing Yards / Game
2
9
EPA
EPA / Play
4
12
EPA / Pass
4
3
EPA / Rush
1
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
24
Interceptions / Game
2
6
Fumbles / Game
7
17
Turnover EPA / Game
30
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
25
RZ Efficiency
9
20
Patriots Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
11
Yards / Game
1
13
Passing Yards / Game
8
26
Rushing Yards / Game
11
11
EPA
EPA / Play
1
18
EPA / Pass
1
19
EPA / Rush
2
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
18
Interceptions / Game
3
4
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
32
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
21
4th Down Efficiency
4
14
RZ Efficiency
2
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
10-0
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U