JAXJaguars
5-10
7
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
62°F
18 mph
27
BALRavens
10-5
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
62°F
18 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
0
0
0
7
Ravens
3
21
3
0
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
245
431
Total Plays
53
62
Yards / Play
4.6
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.32
+0.07
Passing Yards
127
304
Comp/Att
14/25(56%)
18/25(72%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
12.2
EPA / Pass
-0.49
+0.31
Rushing Yards
118
127
Rush Attempts
27
34
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.13
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
20
Passing 1st downs
6
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
50%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-16.06
--
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
--
-18
Sack EPA
-0.38
-5.11
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
28
55
Penalty EPA
-4.83
-4.20
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
3
Yards / Game
20
2
Passing Yards / Game
6
24
Rushing Yards / Game
18
3
EPA
EPA / Play
18
1
EPA / Pass
19
1
EPA / Rush
6
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
17
Interceptions / Game
11
1
Fumbles / Game
20
15
Turnover EPA / Game
16
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
3
4th Down Efficiency
8
1
RZ Efficiency
15
1
Ravens Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
21
Yards / Game
23
18
Passing Yards / Game
28
14
Rushing Yards / Game
6
14
EPA
EPA / Play
24
26
EPA / Pass
21
30
EPA / Rush
17
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
8
Interceptions / Game
10
18
Fumbles / Game
11
32
Turnover EPA / Game
19
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
21
4th Down Efficiency
8
10
RZ Efficiency
25
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Ravens
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U