JAXJaguars
0-3
20
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
024
HOUTexans
1-2
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
3
7
10
0
20
Texans
7
7
3
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
342
339
Total Plays
59
75
Yards / Play
5.8
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.08
Passing Yards
--
229
Comp/Att
18/37(49%)
23/37(62%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.09
-0.05
Rushing Yards
79
110
Rush Attempts
22
37
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.46
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
18%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
4
Interceptions
3
2
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-12.24
-14.70
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-5
Sack EPA
--
-1.70
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
48
43
Penalty EPA
-4.66
-4.54
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
27
Yards / Game
12
31
Passing Yards / Game
13
8
Rushing Yards / Game
8
31
EPA
EPA / Play
18
25
EPA / Pass
16
31
EPA / Rush
12
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
17
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
19
27
Turnover EPA / Game
9
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
23
4th Down Efficiency
16
30
RZ Efficiency
25
8
Texans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
16
Yards / Game
31
6
Passing Yards / Game
24
2
Rushing Yards / Game
23
2
EPA
EPA / Play
26
18
EPA / Pass
23
30
EPA / Rush
16
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
24
Interceptions / Game
17
15
Fumbles / Game
9
8
Turnover EPA / Game
20
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
30
4th Down Efficiency
3
20
RZ Efficiency
3
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U