JAXJaguars
4-7
17
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
030
HOUTexans
4-7
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
0
3
14
17
Texans
10
0
6
14
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
388
326
Total Plays
64
51
Yards / Play
6.1
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.15
+0.08
Passing Yards
262
--
Comp/Att
25/35(71%)
14/25(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
--
EPA / Pass
-0.05
-0.08
Rushing Yards
126
126
Rush Attempts
26
26
Yards / Rush
4.8
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.03
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
18
Passing 1st downs
15
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
36%
13%
3rd Down Conversions
4
1
3rd Down Attempts
11
8
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-16.93
-4.95
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-25
--
Sack EPA
-8.89
--
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
60
--
Penalty EPA
-5.92
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
27
Yards / Game
20
22
Passing Yards / Game
6
16
Rushing Yards / Game
18
23
EPA
EPA / Play
18
25
EPA / Pass
19
19
EPA / Rush
6
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
16
Interceptions / Game
11
23
Fumbles / Game
20
12
Turnover EPA / Game
16
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
16
4th Down Efficiency
8
32
RZ Efficiency
15
29
Texans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
21
Yards / Game
3
18
Passing Yards / Game
2
14
Rushing Yards / Game
12
14
EPA
EPA / Play
13
26
EPA / Pass
12
30
EPA / Rush
8
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
8
Interceptions / Game
29
18
Fumbles / Game
12
32
Turnover EPA / Game
4
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
21
4th Down Efficiency
7
10
RZ Efficiency
27
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U