NYJJets
-
19
TBD
Levi's Stadium
76°F
10 mph
32
SF49ers
-
TBD
Levi's Stadium
76°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
7
0
6
6
19
49ers
3
13
10
6
32
Spread
-3.5
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
266
401
Total Plays
51
70
Yards / Play
5.2
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.00
+0.22
Passing Yards
198
221
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.15
Rushing Yards
68
180
Rush Attempts
20
38
Yards / Rush
3.4
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
24
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
60%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-9.19
--
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-5
-10
Sack EPA
-1.63
-4.45
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
10
40
Penalty EPA
-2.35
+2.28
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model71.2%
Spread Pick
49ers-3.5
Expected Value
+11.3%
Cover Probability
58.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+215
Home nfelo
1,647
Away nfelo
1,492
Home Field
+87.5
Base HFA
+46.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.2
Time Adj
+24.9
Net QB Adjustment
-28.1
Home QB Adjustment
+4.7
Away QB Adjustment
+32.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
156.9
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+32.8
B. Purdy
Proj. Value
+1.5
Team Elo Adj
+4.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
29
Yards / Game
24
7
Passing Yards / Game
5
2
Rushing Yards / Game
31
18
EPA
EPA / Play
19
30
EPA / Pass
18
14
EPA / Rush
21
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
21
Interceptions / Game
11
18
Fumbles / Game
10
19
Turnover EPA / Game
17
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
25
4th Down Efficiency
28
26
RZ Efficiency
21
31
49ers Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
19
Yards / Game
4
5
Passing Yards / Game
2
4
Rushing Yards / Game
11
17
EPA
EPA / Play
11
24
EPA / Pass
9
19
EPA / Rush
13
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
17
Interceptions / Game
26
27
Fumbles / Game
22
7
Turnover EPA / Game
7
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
14
4th Down Efficiency
23
30
RZ Efficiency
14
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
4-6
O/U
49ers
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
6-3-1
O/U